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Sökresultat - Philip E. Tetlock

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  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
    av Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

    Häftad - 2016 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780804136716

    NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."--Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from se…

  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
    av Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

    Övrigt - 2015 - Engelska - ISBN: 9781511358491

    From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launch…

  • Konsten att förutsäga framtiden : en bok om superprognostik

    Konsten att förutsäga framtiden : en bok om superprognostik
    av Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

    Inbunden - 2016 - Svenska - ISBN: 9789171734853

    Alla gör vi förutsägelser, i stort och i smått. Om världshändelser, om vem som vinner val eller fotbollsmatcher, om samhällsekonomi och privatekonomi, om vad som kommer att ske på jobbet och så vidare. Vi är alla prognostiker, men de flesta av oss ä…

  • Expert Political Judgment

    Expert Political Judgment
    av Philip E. Tetlock

    Häftad - 2017 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780691175973

    Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about wh…

  • Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

    Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

    Häftad - 1996 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780691027913

    Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at…

  • Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I

    Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I

    Häftad - 1990 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780195057669

    All people wish to avoid nuclear war, but this fact provides little guidance for policy. One reason is a lack of understanding of how a nuclear war might come about or how one could be prevented; much of what is offered as expert knowledge cannot be…

  • Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma

    Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
    av Paul M. Sniderman, Philip E. Tetlock, Edward G. Carmines

    Inbunden - 1993 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780804721325

    It has been half a century since the publication of An American Dilemma, Gunnar Myrdal's seminal work on race in America. This book is an attempt to contribute to a fresh understanding of this dilemma by viewing the issues of race as they are now, n…

  • Expert Political Judgment

    Expert Political Judgment
    av Philip E. Tetlock

    Inbunden - 2017 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780691178288

    Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about wh…

  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
    av Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

    CD-bok - 2015 - Engelska - ISBN: 9781511364041

    From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launch…

  • Unmaking the West

    Unmaking the West

    Häftad - 2006 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780472031436

    The fifteen original essays in ""Staging Philosophy"" make useful connections between the discipline of philosophy and the fields of theater and performance, using these insights to develop new theories about theater. Each of the contributors, leadi…

  • Superennustajat

    Superennustajat
    av Philip E. Tetlock

    Häftad - 2016 - Finska - ISBN: 9789525697780

    Jokainen hyötyisi tulevaisuuteen katsomisesta, jos osaisimme tehdä sen oikein. Osaisimme ostaa osakkeita, juonia politiikassa, lanseerata uusia tuotteita tai yksinkertaisesti suunnitella arjen elämää. Valitettavasti me ihmiset olemme todella huonoja…

  • Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II

    Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II

    Häftad - 1990 - Engelska - ISBN: 9780195057683

    In the last year the world has witnessed changes in East-West relations that would have been unthinkable only a short time ago. The Berlin Wall has crumbled, Eastern Europe has thrown out its authoritarian leaders, and the Soviet Union itself has un…