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Undertitel:
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Författare:
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Förlag:
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Bandtyp:
Pocket
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Språk:
Engelska
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Utgiven:
20080201
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Antal sidor:
366
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Vikt i gram:
300
The black swan
(Pocket)
Beskrivning:
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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